Hobson's Choice
Comment & Analysis from a Passionate Amateur
Why Hobson's Choice? Web Log Navigation Archives Links Track

January 19, 2005

Zhou Ziyang

We have come too late... I am sorry, fellow students. No matter how you have criticized us, I think you have the right to do so. We do not come here to ask you to excuse us.
Zhou Ziyang, 19 May 1989 [last public appearance]

Monday Zhou Ziyang passed away after two days in a coma; he was 85 (NYT, 1, 2, 3; WP; Straits Times;Wiki). Zhou is probably k=unknown to most Westerners; he was Premier of China for seven years ('80-87), then General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party (1987-89). He was succeeded as Premier by Li Peng; as GS-CCP by Jiang Zemin; this position made him the highest ranking official in China.1 He was Premier of China when that was the supreme executive power in China (as it had been under his predessors, Zhou Enlai and Hua Guofeng).2

When Zhou became Premier in 1980, the country was still reeling from the Cultural Revolution. Few institutions, either civil or party or military, were functioning except in isolated pockets. While Deng Xiaopeng would be acknowledged as the leader of China until the 1990's, he held none of the top official posts—he preferred to act through Premier Zhou, President Li Xiannian, and General Secretary Hu Yaobang. So the main instigator of the reforms was Zhou Ziyang.

In 1986, student demonstrations became a problem for the Communist authorities once again. Deng Xiaopeng, the mentor of the cadre of reformers, was alarmed by the association of political reform and economic liberalization with disorder and disrespect for authority; he therefore responded by demanding that Hu Yaobang resign as Party chief, and gave the job to Zhou. This was relatively unpopular among many liberal-minded Chinese, but it remained difficult to openly express enthusiasm for Hu after he stepped down.

Zhou, like Zhou Enlai before him, attempted to balance two crises in the Zhongnanhai:

  1. The hardliners, formerly "leftists" and supporters of the Cultural Revolution, were now technocrats with ties to the military; they were rightists and nationalists, and they did not support Deng's transformation of China into a post-revolutionary, non-regimented society; Deng had to considern their views.
  2. Within the growing cadre of managers, functionaries, and technocrats supporting Deng, those supporting him were more inclined to see a distinct cleavage between political and economic liberalization. Moreover, the "new Deng-ists" like Li Peng, Jiang Zemin, et al. were determined to manage market reforms.
Usually essays about China's political crises are oversimplified, which is understandable but confusing. Li Peng, for example, succeeded Zhou Ziyang as PM and sought to reverse some of Zhou's reforms Or did he? He did inherit inflation, an inevitable result of price liberalization and increase license for free market producers. Inflation had been the final blow on the "Republic" of Chiang Kai-shek, the vice that caused Nationalist China to implode. He also sought to replace the broad nationwide reforms with ons concentrated in selected prefectures. For a country as large as China, and still vulnerable to inadequate infrastructure, Li's case for tighter controls was compelling.

Zhou was more vulnerable as GS than he had been as Premier. He was relocated out of his former sphere of power, while thrust into the snakepit of the Central Committee. Also, he had left without resolving the inflation issue; it looked as though he was being kicked upstairs. Opponents to the political liberalization process gathered strength in the Zhongnanhai, especially after Li Xiannian was sacked as President. And then Hu Yaobang, the former GS of the Party, died.

Mourners gathered to lay memorial wreathes on the monument to Zhou Enlai, regarded as a liberal nationalist like Zhou Ziyang and Hu Yaobang. The tokens of honor accumulated rapidly into a mountain in Tian'anmen Square. In the normally repressed political mileau of China, mourning of Hu was done by proxy—via Zhou Enlai—and the mourning of Hu was, in turn, a response to the tighting grip on civil life by the state. By May, 1989, the Square was a tent city.

The Zhongnahai met, alarmed. In mid-May, functionaries like Li Peng met with students (transcript of meeting); Zhou met with the students at dawn and was contrite; he believed he had failed the students. It was his last public appearance.

We believe Zhou was shut out of further meetings for the next two weeks; his resignation as Party chief was announced after the crackdown. The Crackdown itself was launched two weeks after the mid-May love-in, even as students were beginning to leave. Units of the 27th Group Army, with direct personal ties to Pres. Yang Shangkun, converged on Tian'anmen Square on 3 June and the next day cleared the square; perhaps a thousand students died in the event, and a national crackdown followed. Zhou Ziyang was arrested and placed under house arrest, where he remained until his death Monday.

Zhou's removal from office changed the course of world history not merely by pushing the country towards regimented capitalism (rather than markets), but also sharping weakening the chance for Chinese workers to associate—perhaps, to form labor unions. Had the labor union in China developed more robustly, then China's awesome labor force would have been able to consume a large share of their own output, and meliorate the deflation that China now exports to the world.

ODDLY RELATED NEWS ITEM: "Tian'anmen suicide masterminds repent": this is related not to the 19 June '89 Crackdown in Tian'anmen Square, but to the suicides of four Falun Gang practitioners in protest at the Chinese Government's crackdown on that religion (19 Jan 2001). The protestors doused themselves with gasoline and set themselves on fire in the enormous square; three survived the episode and suffered burns over their entire bodies.

It's understandable that the Chinese government would ban suicide conspiracies; for one thing, the act was committed in close proximity to the Zhongnangai, there's grounds for arguing the man shown in the photo induced the others to participate in a fatal conspiracy, and in any case the Chinese state media has a public responsibility to mention to readers the negative consequences of this sort of behavior. However, this is what the People's Daily had on 19 January; and the story has an ugly reminiscence of the political prisoner on television, "confessing" to plotting with an international cabal of wreckers and saboteurs.



NOTES: 1 Power in China is divided among the military, the State, and the Party. Traditionally analysts regard the chief of the state in Communist countries as a functionary, the Party Chairman or GS as the actual leader, and the head of the military as important, but not truly a rival to the GS's power. In China, the Constitution of 1982 provides for a President (head of state) and Premier (head of government); the Party is notionally a separate entity, but is uniquely empowered to fill all major posts and remove offending officials. The Party and the National government have committees that control the PLA, although the Party's committee trumps the State's. Since the two committees have the same chairman at any given time, this seems to be an academic matter.

Jiang Zemin was the first GS-CCP to become President as well, in March '93 (nearly four years after becoming GS). Hu Jintao, his successor as Party GS (Nov '02) became President five months later (March '03). For now, the question of who is the final decision maker in China has been resolved by making the GS and President the same person.

2 I've tried to decide how to describe the significance of the Premiership in China and the USSR. In the early days of Communism, the state is a logistical body used for mobilizing and regimenting society; the Premier, who runs this enterprise, is like the chief engineer and CEO of the state, while the Chairman of the Party is essentially assigning jurisdictions to other committees. In the USSR, one of the positions that Stalin held was Premier (from '46 till his death in March '53); likewise, Khruschev was both Premier and Chairman of the Party until his ouster ('64). After that, the Premier was just another extremely important functionary. In China, Zhou Enlai was usually the one responsible for rendering Party ideals into practice (although at times this relationship was adversarial, according to biographer Han Suyin; in the Great Leap Forward, for example, Zhou was effectively eclipsed from power.)

Posted by James R MacLean at January 19, 2005 06:34 PM
Comments