![]() |
|||||
![]() |
|||||
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sudan Archive: Assessment of the RegimeMay 29-30, 2004(Part 2, 3, 4 , 5 & 6)The Bashir regime is not an especially repressive one for individuals. Western television programs are available; likewise, the country has numerous Internet cafes. Oddly, despite the hostile relationship between Washington and Khartoum, the Voice of America maintains offices in Khartoum. Press censorship ended in Khartoum in 2002, although newspapers are constrained from enquiring too closely about jailed ex-Speaker Hassan al-Turabi. In the city of Khartoum, as is often the case, there is a great deal of freedom; for example, there are Christian churches in Khartoum, including Coptic and Anglican despite a decades-long sectarian war in the south. Moreover, while oil and gas recovery are important, fast-growing sources of revenue, they can take only partial credit for the good performance of the Sudanese urban economy. About half of the country's GDP is agriculture, and this employs 80% of the workforce. However, Sudan is an extremely poor country. It has a population growth rate of 2.7%; 44% of the population is under 14; infant mortality is 64 per 1000 live births (about the same as Yemen, but far better than Chad, Mali, or Niger). Sudan's level of social services are actually surprisingly high; it has a literacy rate of 61% (50% for women). In addition to the University of Khartoum, there are 25 government universities throughout the country with over 125,000 students and 3,000 teaching staff. There are also 23 private universities and technical colleges, with some 38,000 students and over 400 teaching staff (DoS). These points need to be made. The Sudanese government is not as repressive as North Korea's or that of the Taliban in Afghanistan. It's a poor, politically gridlocked state running a very poor country with inadequate rainfall or forest cover. The insurgency in the South was backed by Sudan's neighbors, Israel (in retaliation for Sudan's sanctuary to radical terrorist movements) and possibly other western nations. It seems reasonable to suspect the CIA has been supporting the SPLM/SPLA (as here), which is the main rebel group opposing Khartoum. FAS: The principal insurgent faction is the Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM), a body created by the Sudan People's Liberation Army (SPLA). The SPLA was formed in 1983 when Lieutenant Colonel John Garang of the SPAF was sent to quell a mutiny in Bor of 500 southern troops who were resisting orders to be rotated to the north. Instead of ending the mutiny, Garang encouraged mutinies in other garrisons and set himself at the head of the rebellion against the Khartoum government. Garang, a Dinka born into a Christian family, had studied at Grinnell College, Iowa, and later returned to the United States to take a company commanders' course at Fort Benning, Georgia, and again to earn advanced economics degrees at Iowa State University. By 1986 the SPLA was estimated to have 12,500 adherents organized into twelve battalions and equipped with small arms and a few mortars. By 1989 the SPLA's strength had reached 20,000 to 30,000; by 1991 it was estimated at 50,000 to 60,000.Sudan's Islamic regime is quite possibly not the monstrosity depicted by numerous aid groups, like Christian Solidarity International (CSI). In the meantime, the SPLA was fighting a war not only against Sudan's central government-which included bombing of pipelines and any other facilities-but also other opposition movements that have made peace with Khartoum. Another jaundiced view of the SPLA is presented here and here. I am stuck, like other citizens, with what I read. The SPLA is not the entire opposition; other groups clearly were driven into armed opposition by authoritarian regimes; and al-Turabi's influence, which nominally ended in 2000 when he challenged Gen. Bashir, has always been decidedly pernicious-and powerful. On the other hand, evidence of ties of Sudan's government to terrorist groups like al-Qaeda remain flimsy; the villification of Sudan and attacks against it seem to have been a clear lapse of judgment or caution on the part of the Clinton Administration. Oddly enough, in this particular case the Bush Administration's behavior has been surprisingly benevolent, and in August 2001 agreed that "Sudan had made steps in the right direction" for lifting its listing as a state sponsor of terrorism.
|