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Taxes and International Trade![]() Taxes and International Trade-1July 27, 2004
In recent months the issue of taxation of multinational corporations (MNCs) has become quite prominent, because the US government is under international pressure to reform its tax laws. In one of these cases, the measure was the Byrd Amendment1.1, which refunded sanctions revenues against foreign producers to the companies that filed anti-dumping complaints. In the more recent case, the DISC/FSC dispute has come to the forefront. The USA taxes corporate income based on international income for the corporation; EU members tax corporate income based on domestic income.
European governments considered the DISC a form of export subsidy because, they said, it encouraged companies to sell abroad through foreign subsidiaries to take advantage of the tax deferral, and so they challenged it in the GATT dispute resolution process (a precursor to the WTO). The case was resolved [...] in the early 1980s [...] allowing the United States to create a modified tax break, called the Foreign Sales Corporation (FSC) [...] to grant tax relief to exporting companies, in exchange for dropping a challenge to the legitimacy of Europe’s value-added tax (VAT) system. This system provided that goods that are sold within a European country are subject to a tax, but not those sold to someone outside the country—effectively a tax exemption for exports and, thus, an export subsidy. The problem with bribes is that once you start, you can no longer appeal to the rules: After the 1998 banana clash, in which EU member states rejected the bribe1.2, joined up with Japan and other nations, and demanded that the USG obey the rules. The creation of the ETI did not end the dispute, however. The EU brought a new WTO challenge because the United States had created a transition period for implementation of the ETI during which the FSC was still to remain effective, more companies would actually benefit under the ETI changes, and ETI would still function as an export subsidy because the benefit was contingent on exporting. To the disappointment of the United States, the WTO ruled again in favor of the EU in February 2002
The U.S. Treasury and Congress have now proposed 20 changes to the U.S. tax code that eliminate the export benefits of the FSC/ETI entirely, but attempt to benefit U.S. corporations by simplifying provisions of the code governing treatment of foreign income. (Part 2)
Taxes and International Trade-2July 30, 2004
(Part 1)
This series of posts was stimulated in part by Discourse's George Mundstock, who has a series on taxation of MNC's non-US income (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8). This starts out with a hypothetical heart surgeon named Sue: In 2004, Sue received $1 million for surgeries performed in countries with no income tax.2.1 $2 million was earned for surgeries in Europe, which was taxed by the countries where the surgeries were performed at 50%. Her only other income was on investments held in an account in London. She is a US citizen and resides in Manhattan. If the US were to tax her, she would happily move to Geneva [...] (Remember, this is a hypothetical. Currently, the US would tax her, but little tax would be owed, because of the way that the US foreign tax credit works, which will be discussed in later posts)
How should the US tax her on her $3 million of 2004 surgery income? The pro-business, anti-tax right would say not at all, as taxation would drive her to Europe. (Think of it this way: national governments lose revenue if their labor force is taxed at too high a rate, since the aggregate demand curve shifts to the left. On the other hand, if they don't tax their labor force at all, there's no tax revenue. Somewhere in between the extremes is the optimal level of taxation; this is the idea the Laffer Curve was supposed to illustrate. But, if other countries are taxing their citizens as well, then the constrained optimum is lower, and the coutnry gets substantially less revenue. If the country is Switzerland or Australia, where a huge share of the labor force is expat, this is an important consideration of the tax code. So if all nations agree to not tax income their citizens earn abroad, then they can all move to the Laffer optimum)
While Mr. Mundstock does go into considerable detail analyzing the taxation of foreign personal income (see here, especially), I'm interested in the fact that, in terms of corporate tax law, such "altruism" has aroused not gratitude but a welter of EU sanctions against the US. In entries 6 and 7, he discusses them. Oddly, he doesn't go into the matter of the DISC/FSC/ETI squabble. (Incidentally, WTO rulings against the USA on this quarrel have been $4 billion in fines; it happens that the EU has—as usual—escaped any potential retaliation even though it encourages exports through VAT discrimination, because the VAT is excluded from WTO regulation. This, Dear Readers, is why Americans believe our diplomats are idiots.)
In fact, I think this is a fundamental problem of nations attempting to regulate or tax a world economy. There's no way that counties can please each other and there's reason to believe that the EU has a strong interest in filing suit after suit against the US tax code, since no matter what it is, it can be construed as discriminatory. The interest is, of course, to get the US government to concede on some other issue. In the meantime, tax policies aren't going to influence export flows to other OECD countries. The USA runs mostly trade deficits with OECD countres; it runs most trade surpluses with non-OECD/non-OPEC countries (the big exceptions are Mexico, China, and India). The USA conducts the bulk of its trade with the OECD, OPEC, China and Mexico. These massive flows aren't going to be influenced by taxes. They are going to be influenced by industrial policy.
ADDENDUM: Actually, the USA has had an industrial policy for nearly a century; around the 1980's we essentially blew that to hell. The Reagan Administration attempted to stimulate high-tech investment through DARPA and some consortiums, but of course these were merely corporate welfare. The end of US industrial policy was heralded by the violent shift of the nation's IS curve to the right (that's IS as in ISLM; see my explanation of this here). We at HC aren't partisan hacks; we aren't proposing that the Reagan WH was to blame for this, since the political machinery did select for them. However, my point is that we've actually have a program in place for a quarter century to maximize consumption of imports—chiefly petrol, actually—whilst hollowing out the manufacturing base. Taxes can be used to alter this behavior and it's becoming plain that I need to explain how that could be done efficaciouly.
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